Dollar Strengthens as Rate Cut Expectations Adjust; Key U.S. Labor Data Awaited

October 2, 2024
Dollar Strengthens as Rate Cut Expectations Adjust; Key U.S. Labor Data Awaited
  • The U.S. dollar strengthened, with the dollar index rising slightly to 100.77, as market expectations for interest rate cuts adjusted.

  • Traders are now pricing in a 38% probability of a 50 basis-point cut next month, down from 53% earlier in the week, while anticipating a total of 70 basis points of easing this year.

  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated a preference for quarter-percentage-point cuts moving forward, which has reduced expectations for larger cuts.

  • Upcoming U.S. labor market data, particularly job openings and the ISM manufacturing survey, will be crucial for shaping future rate expectations.

  • Oil prices remained stable, with Brent crude futures at $71.78 and West Texas Intermediate at $68.22, as investors await U.S. labor data.

  • Spot gold traded at $2,637.56 per ounce, close to its record high, reflecting a 13% rise over the last quarter.

  • The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell by 0.13% to 620.05, remaining near its recent high, while Asian stocks eased amid hawkish comments from Powell.

  • With mainland China's financial markets closed for the week, the recent rally in Asian markets is expected to pause.

  • Japan's Nikkei index rose by 1.5% in early trading after a significant drop on Monday, influenced by the election of Shigeru Ishiba as Prime Minister.

  • The South African rand declined after two weeks of gains due to improved investor sentiment.

  • In Kenya, lawmakers announced plans to impeach Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, citing accusations of undermining the government.

  • The World Bank approved a $1.57 billion financing package for Nigeria to support health, education, and sustainable power initiatives.

Summary based on 3 sources


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