Japan's Economy: Services Thrive Amid Manufacturing Slump, Inflation Rises

November 6, 2025
Japan's Economy: Services Thrive Amid Manufacturing Slump, Inflation Rises
  • The private sector shows a mixed trend: services remain robust while manufacturing weakens, contributing to a cautious overall trajectory for the economy.

  • Services-led growth persists, but rising costs and cautious demand dynamics keep firms wary amid labor shortages and softer customer activity.

  • New orders slowed to a 16-month low, with foreign demand for services contracting for the fourth month in a row, signaling softer demand ahead.

  • Demand cooled despite ongoing services expansion, as new orders moderated and foreign demand weakened further.

  • Japan’s services sector expanded, but the pace of growth remained modest and foreign demand declined at a slower pace.

  • Japan’s composite PMI rose modestly in October, indicating overall private-sector expansion despite slower service momentum.

  • Services continued to drive growth, with a 53.1 reading in October, though the pace eased from September.

  • The broader picture shows services offsetting manufacturing weakness, supporting a net expansion in the private sector.

  • Business confidence cooled from a recent high, while employment rose gradually as firms filled roles and pursued expansion.

  • Despite positive sentiment, labor shortages and softer demand weighed on confidence about future growth.

  • Inflationary pressures intensified in October, with higher input costs and output charges driven by rising labor, materials, food, and fuel costs.

  • Cost pressures rose across the private sector, with both input costs and selling prices reaching four-month highs even as hiring grew only marginally.

  • Finance & Insurance topped growth within services, followed by Transport & Storage, highlighting the subsectors fueling activity.

  • October showed resilient services but lingering headwinds from weaker demand and higher inflation, underscoring the need to monitor key indicators to gauge the recovery.

  • Employment growth slowed to a modest pace, easing backlogs to the smallest rise in four months as firms pursued expansion.

  • Composite new business retreated for the first time since mid-2024, driven by a sharp drop in manufacturing orders and softer service sales.

Summary based on 5 sources


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