Scientists have developed a new tool, the Habitat Compression Index, that predicts whale and sea turtle locations up to 11.5 months in advance using global temperature models.

The tool estimates the likelihood of whale habitat shrinking closer to shore, aiding in the prevention of entanglements with fishing equipment.

The information provided by the tool can be utilized by state regulators, fishermen, and businesses to anticipate potential fishing restrictions.

The tool proved particularly accurate in predicting humpback whale locations during winter and spring.

The ecological forecasting approach of the tool can be replicated in other regions to protect endangered species and help fisheries adapt to changing conditions.

The tool is user-friendly, accessible, and can provide relevant, timely information for ocean resource users, managers, and communities.

The forecasting model can predict the effects of marine heatwaves on whale and sea turtle habitats up to a year in advance.

By combining data from existing conservation management tools, accurate forecasts of habitat compression and likelihood of human-wildlife conflicts were achieved.

The tool can empower governments in areas with fewer resources to prepare for climate change impacts.

However, as the forecasts are model-based, they may have false positives, potentially leading to economic ramifications for fishing communities.

Overall, the study presents a valuable tool for managing the impacts of marine heatwaves and adapting to climate change.