Immigrant Voter Shift: GOP Support Surges to 45%, Democrats Down to 30% Amid Border Crisis
June 13, 2025
By the time of the 2024 election, support for the GOP among immigrant voters surged to 45%, while Democratic support dropped to 30%.
This significant shift reflects a broader trend among American voters, particularly immigrants, who are moving from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party due to changing perspectives on immigration policies.
A CNN analysis highlighted a dramatic 40-point shift among immigrant voters, with their favorability towards Democrats on immigration plummeting from a 32-point lead in 2020 to an 8-point trust in Republicans by 2024.
The surge in illegal immigration, with over 10.8 million encounters recorded from 2021 to 2024, has fueled a backlash among immigrant voters, who are increasingly demanding stricter immigration management.
Trump's messaging around immigration resonates with economic anxieties, as many immigrant voters express concerns about job competition and the strain on public services caused by illegal immigration.
These immigration and border security policies played a crucial role in Trump's successful campaign during the 2024 elections, enabling Republicans to regain control of the presidency and the Senate.
Recent data indicates a notable increase in immigrant voters backing Trump's strict immigration policies, marking a stark change from previous election cycles.
Moreover, immigrant voters' favorability towards undocumented immigrants has significantly declined, shifting from a positive 23-point margin in 2020 to a negative 6 points in 2024.
Experts suggest that many immigrant voters feel frustrated with the current immigration policies and perceive the Biden administration's approach as too lenient.
Daron Shaw noted that prior to Trump's political rise, immigration and border security were seen as separate issues, but they have since merged, benefiting the Republican Party.
Additionally, Republicans have made gains among traditionally Democratic-supporting demographics, including Black, Hispanic, and younger voters.
Trump's overall approval rating on immigration has improved significantly, rising from -21 in June 2017 to +1 in 2024, marking his most substantial gain on any issue.
Summary based on 2 sources
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Sources

Newsweek • Jun 13, 2025
Immigrants Are Embracing Trump's Crackdown on Immigration
Fox News • Jun 13, 2025
Immigrants abandon Dems to support GOP immigration policies in large polling shift