Canada Adds 66,600 Jobs in October, Surprising Analysts and Lowering Unemployment to 6.9%

November 7, 2025
Canada Adds 66,600 Jobs in October, Surprising Analysts and Lowering Unemployment to 6.9%
  • Economists initially anticipated a -20,000 job change and rising unemployment to 7.2%, but the actual data showed resilience in the labor market.

  • Youth employment rose by 21,000 in October, cutting the youth unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points to 14.1%.

  • West Fraser Timber announced permanent closures of mills in Georgia and British Columbia by year-end due to timber supply challenges and soft lumber markets, affecting 295 workers with some internal transfers possible.

  • Average hourly wages rose 3.5% year over year in October, up from 3.3% in September, signaling modest wage growth amid the job gains.

  • Hourly wages increased to $37.06 per hour, up 1.27, reinforcing the modest wage momentum.

  • Wage growth of 3.5% year over year in October reflects a cautious uptrend as employment gains continue.

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  • The story will be updated as new data or analysis becomes available.

  • Canada added 66,600 jobs in October, marking a second straight month of unexpected gains and lowering the unemployment rate to 6.9%, with most growth coming from part-time work across Ontario in wholesale and retail, transport and warehousing, information, culture and recreation, and utilities.

  • Over October and September, job gains offset declines seen in August and July, helping to stabilize the labor picture.

  • Most gains were in the private sector, with private employment rising by about 73,000 while public employment was unchanged.

  • Overall sentiment notes that more details and analysis are forthcoming.

  • Analysts describe mixed signals: some improvement in distressed areas and a potential stabilization, but ongoing trade frictions and tariffs continue to weigh on the economy.

  • Labor-market volatility has persisted, with September’s gain following July and August losses and a June surge of 83,000 jobs.

  • Year to date, Canada has added about 164,500 net jobs, showing resilience despite U.S. tariff pressures.

  • October featured more part-time gains and some full-time declines, but overall the labor market remained stronger than anticipated.

  • Markets largely price in no further Bank of Canada rate cuts soon, with only a small probability of a cut at the next decision.

  • Ontario’s gains may be partly seasonal, tied to factors like the Toronto Blue Jays playoff run, suggesting temporary effects on provincial numbers.

  • The data continue to reflect volatility and 'wild swings' in the Labour Force Survey, with uneven momentum across sectors and timing issues.

  • Analysts note that October data support the view that rates are low enough to stimulate the economy, though overall conditions remain soft.

  • Economists anticipate that employment gains may slow later, but population growth could help push unemployment lower into 2026, aligning with the central bank’s stance of no immediate rate cuts.

  • Telus missed expectations in Q3 for both profit and revenue, with mobile additions down 37% year over year due to weaker sign-ups and higher churn.

  • Economists are divided on the outlook, with some seeing early signs of recovery while others warn the improvement is fragile and not a broad turnaround.

  • Wage growth cooled somewhat, indicating resilience in the labour market but not strong momentum.

  • Enbridge reported third-quarter adjusted profit slightly below estimates, with cash from core operations down 3.5% year over year, but reaffirmed its outlook and highlighted more than $3 billion in approved projects in progress.

  • Tesla shareholders approved CEO Elon Musk’s near-US$1 trillion pay package, with 75% in favor, despite proxy-adviser recommendations against it; Musk outlined ambitious plans including humanoid robots and a role for Tesla vehicles in lunar and Martian base support.

  • Bank of Canada communications suggest rates remain calibrated to balance inflation and recovery, with the recovery’s true strength hinging on trade conditions and domestic demand.

  • The unemployment drop and job gains exceeded consensus forecasts, underscoring unexpected strength in October.

  • The data broadly supports the Bank of Canada's stance to keep rates low, with expectations that no further rate cuts are imminent in the near term.

  • Goods-producing industries have shed 54,000 positions since January, while services-added 142,000, reflecting sector shifts amid trade tensions.

  • Youth unemployment fell to 14.1% in October from 14.7% in September, with 21,000 more jobs for ages 15 to 24.

Summary based on 11 sources


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Sources




The Daily Chase: Surprise job gains – again

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