Canada Shifts Trade Focus: Eyes $50 Billion Deal with India, Warms Relations with China
November 30, 2025
Public response in Canada is mixed: Sikh groups express concerns that the pivot could compromise governance and security, while Ottawa emphasizes responsible multilateral engagement and respect for the rule of law.
Canada’s foreign economic strategy centers on building infrastructure and expanding diplomatic and economic presence abroad to offset US-anchored dependence, though challenges persist from China’s retaliatory tariffs and the dominance of North American markets.
Foreign Minister Anita Anand describes the new approach as a response to the global economic environment, reflecting a deliberate move away from a US-centric strategy.
Key actions include pursuing new markets, expanding export diversification resources, continuing tariff-relief talks with the US, and enhancing Europe and Indo-Pacific engagement.
Historical tensions with India, including expulsions tied to the Meng Wanzhou case, illustrate long-standing challenges in Canada’s multi-vector diplomacy.
Canada is pursuing a realignment of its trade policy by diversifying partners beyond the United States, restarting talks with India with a target of $50 billion in bilateral trade by 2030 and engaging China to resolve irritants.
This shift marks a broader pivot away from US-centric dependence, as Ottawa seeks to reshape international ties, warming relations with China and India after years of tension.
The article frames Canada as entering an era of realpolitik driven by tariff threats and strained US relations under a flirtation with disruption, prompting policy diversification.
Carney is balancing tariff reductions ahead of potential USMCA renegotiation with preparations for alternative partnerships, signaling a strategic pivot rather than capitulation to US pressure.
Canada’s heavy dependence on the US market—over 75% of exports go south and trade roughly makes up two-thirds of GDP—keeps US policy a central determinant of Canadian prosperity.
A historic thaw with China occurred when Prime Minister met President Xi at the APEC summit, signaling a potential realignment after years of strain since 2018 over detentions and espionage accusations.
Trump’s tariff threats have disrupted Canada’s trade patterns, accelerating Ottawa’s push for a broader external orientation and a goal to double non-US exports by 2035.
Summary based on 2 sources
