Trump's Approval Hits Record Low as Democrats Surge in Midterm Polls
October 21, 2026
The New York Times/Siena College poll finds Trump with a 36% approval rating in October, the lowest seen in the Times-Siena series, just weeks before the midterms, with 59% disapproving.
Voters are feeling economic strain as energy prices rise, gasoline averages $4.26 per gallon and diesel $6.31, while inflation accelerated in September.
Polls show Republicans have limited time to improve sentiment before Election Day, with concerns centered on the cost of living and the war in Iran.
Democrats lead on the generic congressional ballot by 11 points, the largest margin since 2008, suggesting a potential House gain for Democrats.
The survey hints at a possible Republican wipeout, with Democrats projected to win the House by around 52 to 41 percent.
Republican spin about improving numbers is contradicted by the poll results.
Despite the Democratic gains, the party faces internal challenges, with only 28% of voters expressing satisfaction with Democrats.
Trump’s support has weakened among traditional bases, including men and white voters, with cracks widening after the Iran escalation earlier in the year.
Overall, the polling signals a challenging environment for Trump and the Republican Party as the midterms approach.
About 65% disapprove of Trump's handling of the Iran war, contributing to higher oil and gasoline prices and lasting for nearly eight months.
Disapproval stands at 59%, while 52% of respondents plan to vote for a Democratic candidate.
Voters rate the economy, inflation, cost of living, immigration, tariffs, and gas prices as areas of strong disapproval for Trump, with Democrats seen as more trusted on cost of living and the economy.
Summary based on 4 sources
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Sources

Politico • Oct 21, 2026
Trump’s approval ratings hit new lows in final stretch of midterms
The Daily Beast • Oct 21, 2026
Trump Hits 80-Year Low as Republicans Face Wipeout Warning
Political Wire • Oct 21, 2026
The Bottom Falls Out for Trump
UA.NEWS • Oct 21, 2026
Trump's approval rating falls to 36% — The Guardian