Egypt's Inflation Eases to 13.9% as Central Bank Cuts Rates, Economy Grows 5.4% in Q2 2025

August 29, 2025
Egypt's Inflation Eases to 13.9% as Central Bank Cuts Rates, Economy Grows 5.4% in Q2 2025
  • Egypt's inflation rate slowed to 13.9% in July 2025 from 14.9% in June, with projections indicating further easing to between 14% and 15% for the year, supported by recent monetary policy adjustments.

  • Annual inflation for the second quarter of 2025 was 15.2%, down from 16.5% in the previous quarter, and is expected to decline further, with an average of 14-15% in 2025.

  • Core inflation remained stable at around 11.6%, and monthly inflation turned negative, signaling easing price pressures in the economy.

  • The Central Bank of Egypt reduced its overnight interest rates by 200 basis points in August 2025, setting deposit and lending rates at 22% and 23%, respectively, marking its third rate cut this year amid declining inflation.

  • This rate cut was supported by recent data showing a slowdown in inflation and stabilization of the Egyptian pound, which has been more volatile since the pandemic.

  • The Central Bank plans to continue monitoring economic conditions and aims to bring inflation closer to its target of 7% by Q4 2026 and 5% by Q4 2028, using all available tools to maintain price stability.

  • Egypt's economy grew by an estimated 5.4% in the second quarter of 2025, with an annual average of 4.5% for the fiscal year, driven by manufacturing and tourism sectors.

  • This stronger-than-expected growth reflects positive momentum, supported by reforms and increased activity in key sectors.

  • Egypt received a $1.2 billion loan from the IMF in March 2025 and an additional €4 billion from the EU to support economic growth.

  • International agencies like the IMF and the World Bank project Egypt's economic growth at around 3.8% to 4.2% for 2025, bolstered by recent financial aid and reforms.

  • Despite positive trends, risks such as regional geopolitical tensions and administered price adjustments remain, influencing future monetary policy decisions.

  • The unemployment rate decreased to 6.1% in Q2 2025 from 6.3% earlier, indicating a strengthening labor market.

Summary based on 3 sources


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Sources

Egypt Lowers Rate to 22% as Expected

Trading Economics • Aug 28, 2025

Egypt Lowers Rate to 22% as Expected

Egypt’s central bank cuts interest rates 2%

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