AI Could Outperform Humans in All Tasks by 2116, Says New Research

January 9, 2024
AI Could Outperform Humans in All Tasks by 2116, Says New Research
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly advancing with the potential to automate a wide variety of tasks.

  • A recent survey suggests that by 2116, all human tasks could be highly automatable, an earlier estimate than previously thought.

  • In the next five to 10 years, AI systems are expected to be capable of tasks such as finding and patching security flaws, building websites, providing phone banking services, writing readable Python code, finetuning language models, and conducting machine-learning studies.

  • The drop in computing costs is expected to significantly impact AI development.

  • There is a 10% chance that unaided machines will outperform humans in every task by 2027, and a 50% chance by 2047.

  • The survey predicts that 10% of human occupations could be fully automatable by 2037, and 50% by 2116.

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