TSMC and Lam Research Thrive Amid AI Boom, Lam Seen as Smarter Investment

June 21, 2025
TSMC and Lam Research Thrive Amid AI Boom, Lam Seen as Smarter Investment
  • TSMC continues to manufacture chips for leading tech firms like NVIDIA and AMD, recognized for its advanced production capabilities, including moving into 3nm production with plans for 2nm.

  • In a bid to maintain its leadership in advanced chip production, TSMC plans to invest up to $42 billion in 2025, a significant increase from $29.8 billion in 2024.

  • However, TSMC faces several challenges, including geopolitical risks from its operations in Taiwan, rising energy costs, and potential market weaknesses in the smartphone and PC sectors.

  • Looking ahead, analysts project TSMC's EPS growth at 31.8% for 2025, while Lam Research's EPS growth is slightly higher at 33.8%, indicating a more bullish outlook for LRCX.

  • The semiconductor industry is currently dominated by two major players: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Lam Research Corporation (LRCX), both of which are crucial to the tech supply chain.

  • Both companies are experiencing a surge in demand driven by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), 5G, and cutting-edge chip technologies.

  • In the first quarter of 2025, TSMC reported a remarkable 35% increase in revenues and a 53% rise in profits, fueled by a tripling of AI-related revenues in 2024, which are expected to double again this year.

  • Lam Research also reported strong financial performance in Q3 of fiscal 2025, with revenues reaching $4.72 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 24.5%.

  • The company is capitalizing on the AI trend by providing innovative manufacturing tools, with shipments for advanced packaging projected to grow significantly, from over $1 billion in 2024 to more than $3 billion in 2025.

  • Investor sentiment reflects this growth, as Lam Research's stock has surged by 27.7% year-to-date, compared to an 8.1% increase for TSMC.

  • In terms of valuation, Lam Research trades at 23.16 times forward earnings, while TSMC is at 21.43 times, indicating LRCX's stronger earnings momentum despite its higher price.

  • Given its robust growth and profitability, analysts currently view Lam Research as the smarter investment choice compared to TSMC.

Summary based on 3 sources


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