AI Stock Bubble: More Stretched Than Dot-Com Era, Warns Economist

July 17, 2025
AI Stock Bubble: More Stretched Than Dot-Com Era, Warns Economist
  • Market economist Torsten Slok warns that the current AI-driven market bubble is more stretched than the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, with top S&P 500 companies trading at a 12-month forward P/E ratio of around 25, surpassing the peak of the internet stock craze.

  • Citi analysts suggest that stocks might continue to rise due to an AI bubble forming, potentially peaking before AI-related capital expenditures reach their maximum.

  • Investors are overly optimistic about an AI future, often ignoring risks such as regulatory hurdles, high operational costs, and slower-than-expected adoption rates.

  • This narrow rally, heavily dependent on a small group of top companies, increases market vulnerability to fluctuations in their performance, raising concerns about a potential correction.

  • If corporate earnings do not meet these lofty valuations, the market could face a significant downturn, eroding investor confidence and causing substantial losses.

  • Historically, bubbles burst when expectations outpace reality, and current investor willingness to pay for future profits that may not materialize soon is a key concern.

  • While some strategists see signs of a bubble, the absence of a dovish Federal Reserve keeps the risk at about 25% by the end of 2026, according to UBS.

  • Market veteran Ed Yardeni warns of a 'melt-up' mode—rapid, unsustainable stock price increases—as the S&P 500 hits new highs in July 2025.

  • There are striking parallels between current AI investment trends and the late 1990s dot-com overvaluation, with many companies promising AI breakthroughs without solid revenue backing.

  • Investors' optimism about AI is inflating stock prices based on future promises rather than current earnings, fueling concerns about an impending bubble.

  • Discussions of an AI bubble have intensified on Wall Street since late 2022, following the surge in AI-related stock investments sparked by ChatGPT.

  • Industry leaders like Alibaba's Joe Tsai and tech executive Tom Siebel have echoed warnings about the potential AI bubble.

Summary based on 3 sources


Get a daily email with more Tech stories

More Stories