BlackRock Adjusts Outlook: Neutral on EM Equities, Favors Eurozone Bonds Amid AI-Driven Risks

June 30, 2026
BlackRock Adjusts Outlook: Neutral on EM Equities, Favors Eurozone Bonds Amid AI-Driven Risks
  • Jean Boivin, head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, emphasizes that AI disruptions could create dispersion and selective alpha opportunities within credit markets.

  • Key takeaways reiterate the move to neutral or overweight in categories and stress the rationale around AI demand, yields, and policy-rate expectations.

  • BlackRock’s moves reflect a broader rebalancing of asset allocation in response to shifting global growth, policy expectations, and AI-driven investment trends.

  • BlackRock remains positive on U.S. equities, underscoring AI-driven exposure to technology as a continued growth driver despite uncertainty over eventual winners.

  • MSCI Emerging Markets Index earnings growth is projected to accelerate, with more than 50% growth expected in 2026 versus 2025.

  • For investors, broad EM exposure via index funds implies significant concentration risk in Taiwan and South Korea, while commodity-focused EM plays tied to copper and lithium may benefit from AI-driven demand.

  • BlackRock’s Investment Institute trims its outlook on emerging-market equities to neutral from overweight for the next six to 12 months, citing concentration risks tied to AI-related firms and exposure in markets like Taiwan and South Korea.

  • In mid-2026, BlackRock revises its outlook to become more cautious on EM equities and more constructive on short- to medium-term eurozone government bonds.

  • Credit markets are viewed as resilient, with low default rates and robust debt repayment activity.

  • Disclaimers note that the content reflects the author’s opinion and is not investment advice, with sourcing credited to Odaily (Golden Ten Data).

  • The firm also shifts its stance on eurozone government bonds to a more favorable view, arguing that policy-rate concerns are overblown and that yield prospects look attractive.

  • The article includes sections and FAQs that summarize BlackRock’s stance across asset classes.

Summary based on 13 sources


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