The looming NATO summit in Ankara will center on AI security concerns, emphasizing how U.S. dominance in AI and export controls shape alliance access and security decisions.

Experts warn that the summit may yield limited substantive consensus on AI, with most discussions likely confined to margins where agreement exists.

A spokesperson indicated AI and cyber policy could appear briefly in the official statement, but NATO did not provide comment on these conversations.

Washington has swung between export controls on advanced AI and expanding allied access through initiatives like Project Glasswing, creating friction with European partners who want broader access while pursuing their own defence AI capabilities.

Mythos, a highly capable dual-use AI, can identify security vulnerabilities across critical sectors and has demonstrated the ability to detect vulnerabilities in classified U.S. systems during testing.

EU institutions and several allied countries push for Mythos access for cyber defense, with only a few nations, including the UK, initially allowed to evaluate it.

European allies like the UK and Germany show strong interest in Mythos testing, amid ongoing negotiations and limited initial access.

EU members and institutions seek access to Mythos while accelerating their own AI defense capabilities, highlighting tensions with the U.S. over shared cybersecurity tools.

Ukraine’s conflict and its 1.5% GDP commitment to protecting critical infrastructure underscore the urgency of AI-enabled defense, while the U.S. State Department stresses allies adopt trusted leading-edge AI capabilities amid ongoing debate about what counts as trusted.

Estonia’s cyber policy adviser cautions allies to be ready to act first with AI capabilities.

The State Department notes alliance security depends on secure networks and sustained investment in cybersecurity and proven AI technologies by all members.

Market and policy implications include shifts in cybersecurity valuations and a push to establish norms and limits for AI development through alliances and regulatory efforts.