2025 Australian Election: New Electorate, Shifting Margins, and High-Profile Independents Shake Up Race

April 29, 2025
2025 Australian Election: New Electorate, Shifting Margins, and High-Profile Independents Shake Up Race
  • The upcoming 2025 Australian federal election will feature 150 electorates, which is one less than in 2022, following the abolition of two electorates and the establishment of a new electorate, Bullwinkel, in Western Australia.

  • Recent analyses of seat margins and boundary changes, informed by data from ABC's Antony Green, reveal significant shifts in the electoral landscape since the last election.

  • Demographic and infrastructure statistics utilized in this analysis are primarily based on the 2021 census and Australian Bureau of Statistics datasets, adjusted for the recent electoral redistributions.

  • The interactive features of this election coverage, including demographic and electoral analysis, are supported by data from Griffith University’s Relational Insights Data Lab.

  • An interactive map and seat explorer will be available to illustrate the estimated margins and changes in electorates resulting from boundary redistributions.

  • The candidate list for the election currently includes announcements from major and prominent minor parties, with updates expected as more candidates confirm their participation.

  • Notably, Andrew Gee, who won the Calare seat for the Nationals in 2022, will run as an independent in 2025 after leaving the party in 2023.

  • Similarly, Russell Broadbent, who secured the Monash seat as a Liberal in 2022, is contesting the upcoming election as an independent after departing from the Liberal party in 2023.

  • The incumbents for the electorates of Bennelong and Menzies have shifted; Labor currently holds Bennelong, while a Liberal MP represents Menzies, reflecting changes in estimated margins due to electorate redistributions.

  • Insights into the electoral changes since the last election are further supported by the seat margins following redistributions, sourced from Antony Green.

Summary based on 2 sources


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