Brussels Awaits Critical S&P Rating Amid Political and Economic Strains

June 13, 2025
Brussels Awaits Critical S&P Rating Amid Political and Economic Strains
  • On June 13, 2025, Standard & Poor's will announce whether it will maintain or downgrade the financial rating of the Brussels-Capital Region amid ongoing political turmoil.

  • The new financial rating will be revealed in the evening, coinciding with a challenging economic landscape characterized by declining financial conditions.

  • The absence of a fully functioning government for over a year, coupled with high debt levels, are significant factors that could negatively influence the rating agency's decision.

  • Currently, the budget is projected to yield a deficit of €1.426 billion, prompting discussions on necessary budgetary measures to address this shortfall.

  • In response to the financial challenges, Minister of Finance Sven Gatz is considering conservative measures and an emergency budget to reduce the deficit to €1.2 billion.

  • Opposition parties are advocating for immediate and significant budget cuts, criticizing the current coalition government for inadequate budgetary reforms.

  • Concerns about a potential downgrade have been raised by right-wing and centrist opposition parties, which could affect future borrowing costs for the region.

  • Three scenarios are possible for the upcoming rating announcement: maintaining the current rating, changing the outlook to negative, or downgrading the rating to A.

  • Standard & Poor's had previously downgraded Brussels' rating from AA- to A+ in March 2024, following a negative outlook issued in September 2022.

  • At that time, the agency had included a stable outlook, indicating no immediate risk of further downgrade, but the current situation may alter that assessment.

  • Brussels' consolidated debt surged to €13 billion by the end of 2023, largely due to the financial repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2022 energy crisis.

  • Forecasts suggest the region's debt could escalate to €16.13 billion in 2025, representing a staggering 244% of its revenue.

Summary based on 2 sources


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