Bitcoin's Next Move Hinges on Fed's Decision and Key Price Levels, Says Trader

September 17, 2025
Bitcoin's Next Move Hinges on Fed's Decision and Key Price Levels, Says Trader
  • Patel stresses that a weekly close above $112,000 and around $115,300 signals short-term bullishness, while a close below these levels could lead to declines toward $107,000 or even $99,000.

  • The market's reaction to Powell's guidance and the Fed's communication will be crucial, with Bitcoin's movement within the $114,000–$119,000 range highly sensitive to macroeconomic cues and the tone of Fed officials.

  • A key resistance level is at $117,500, with a break above $120,000 potentially opening the path to all-time highs near $123,000, which is a significant cap on the daily chart.

  • Bitcoin's short-term trading plan hinges on its movement relative to key levels like $117,500 and $119,000, with strategies to short above $119,000 before the FOMC and add to shorts if the price drops below $117,500, targeting $112,000 or lower if market structure weakens.

  • A bullish scenario involves a liquidity sweep to around $113,500, followed by a reversal toward $117,500 and $119,000, with a potential breakout above $120,000 that could push Bitcoin toward its all-time highs near $123,000.

  • The trader's bias is conditional, suggesting a liquidity sweep to trigger longs if Bitcoin dips sharply to about $113,500, with invalidation below $112,000, and targets at $117,500 and $119,000 before the upcoming FOMC meeting.

  • The broader macro environment anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed on September 17, from 4.50% to 4.25%, with traders closely watching Powell's guidance and the updated dot plot for future policy signals.

  • Market expectations are centered on the Fed's rate cut, with traders analyzing Powell's tone and the dot plot to gauge future easing, which could influence Bitcoin's price movement.

  • Trader Patel's approach relies on reacting to key support and resistance levels rather than trying to predict the Fed's decision, emphasizing reactive strategies based on price reactions.

  • Ahead of the September 17 Fed announcement, analyst Nik Patel has outlined a detailed trading framework for Bitcoin, focusing on key levels between $112,000 and $120,000, with emphasis on weekly closes above $112,000 for bullish momentum.

  • Trader positioning suggests a reactive approach—buying dips below $112,000 or shorting near $119,000–$120,000—depending on whether the market accepts or rejects key levels.

  • Bitcoin is currently trading around $115,000, with analysts emphasizing the importance of reclaiming support at approximately $114,000 to maintain bullish momentum.

  • The overall market remains uncertain, and the direction of Bitcoin's move will likely depend on Powell's tone and the Fed's guidance, with current prices around $115,427.

Summary based on 2 sources


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