Bitcoin Faces Potential Supply Shock as 93% of Total Supply Mined by 2025

June 23, 2025
Bitcoin Faces Potential Supply Shock as 93% of Total Supply Mined by 2025
  • The April 2024 halving cut miner rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block, significantly limiting new supply and contributing to Bitcoin's scarcity.

  • This halving also reduced Bitcoin's inflation rate to less than 1% per year, coinciding with increased demand and resulting in a daily issuance of only 450 BTC.

  • Institutional interest in Bitcoin has surged, highlighted by BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, which saw $6.35 billion in inflows in May 2025, tightening liquid supply on exchanges.

  • With significant investments from large entities and the rise of spot ETFs, institutional accumulation is further constraining the available supply of Bitcoin.

  • However, the concentration of Bitcoin ownership is concerning, as the top 100 addresses control about 15% of the total supply, raising questions about wealth centralization.

  • Notably, Michael Saylor's company, Strategy, has aggressively accumulated about 3% of the total Bitcoin supply, which raises fears of further supply constraints.

  • These trends indicate a slow-burning supply squeeze for Bitcoin, driven by reduced miner earnings and a reluctance from large holders to sell.

  • If demand continues to rise, market dynamics suggest a bullish supply shock could occur, potentially leading to significant price increases as Bitcoin approaches its scarcity limits.

  • As of June 2025, approximately 70% of Bitcoin supply has not moved in at least a year, indicating decreasing liquidity as more coins are locked in cold storage or held by long-term investors.

  • Additionally, less than 11% of Bitcoin's total supply is available on exchanges, the lowest level since 2018, which could lead to increased price volatility.

  • Overall, while a supply squeeze is evident, market dynamics indicate a gradual tightening rather than an explosive shortage, driven by ongoing demand from various sectors.

  • As of 2025, 93% of Bitcoin's total supply of 21 million coins has been mined, raising concerns about a potential supply shock following the April 2024 halving event that reduced miner rewards.

Summary based on 2 sources


Get a daily email with more Crypto stories

More Stories