Rising Seas and Earthquakes Threaten Millions with Coastal Flooding by 2100

July 15, 2025
Rising Seas and Earthquakes Threaten Millions with Coastal Flooding by 2100
  • Earthquakes increasingly influence sea levels through VLM, adding complexity to coastal risk management in regions already vulnerable to climate change.

  • Coastal ecosystems such as mangroves and coral reefs face severe threats from rising seas and tectonic shifts, with mangroves declining by up to 8% annually and coral reefs projected to decrease by 70% to 90% by 2050.

  • Nearly half of the ocean surface is experiencing sea level rise faster than the global average, compounded by land subsidence rates of about 5 mm per year in many coastal areas.

  • The global sea level is rising at approximately 3.3 mm annually, with projections indicating a rise of up to 0.59 meters by 2100, threatening low-lying areas with severe flooding.

  • By the end of the century, around 360 million people could be affected by coastal flooding, with some regions experiencing fivefold increases in annual flooding due to sea-level rise and earthquake-induced land subsidence.

  • Unpredictable earthquake-driven changes in sea levels complicate adaptation, as coastal regions must balance development needs with habitat preservation amid seismic activity.

  • Recent earthquakes, such as Japan's 2024 Noto Peninsula quake and the 2009 Samoa-Tonga event, have caused land uplift and subsidence, respectively, significantly impacting local relative sea levels.

  • International efforts like the Tuvalu Coastal Adaptation Project demonstrate the importance of climate finance in helping small island nations and developing countries build resilience against rising seas.

  • Vertical Land Motion (VLM), driven by natural and human factors like earthquakes, plays a crucial role in altering sea levels and increasing risks for seismically active coastal areas.

  • Addressing earthquake-driven sea-level rise requires coordinated policies across local, national, and international levels that consider seismic risks alongside climate change.

Summary based on 1 source


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How is earthquake-driven sea-level rise changing our coasts?

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