Bitcoin Nears $109k as Short-Term Holders Signal Potential Bull Cycle Peak

May 25, 2025
Bitcoin Nears $109k as Short-Term Holders Signal Potential Bull Cycle Peak
  • Bitcoin's price is currently just below $109,000, reflecting a slight increase of 0.4% over the past 24 hours and over 5% growth in the last week.

  • This price point comes after a strong performance last week, although it remains approximately 4% below its recent all-time high of nearly $113,000.

  • Recent on-chain data indicates that short-term holders (STH) of Bitcoin are distributing their assets, which may signal a slowdown in price increases.

  • The Bitcoin Supply Held By Short-Term Holders indicator shows a decline, suggesting ongoing distribution by these investors following the recent price surge.

  • Historically, significant declines in supply held by STH often coincide with major price cycle tops, indicating that the current bull cycle may be nearing its end.

  • Market analysts from Alphractal suggest that while some upward movement for Bitcoin is still possible, macro on-chain signals and halving cycle patterns could lead to significant corrections after October 2025.

  • Despite the distribution by short-term holders, Bitcoin reached new all-time highs in 2021, suggesting there may still be potential for price increases in the near future.

  • The realized price for short-term holders is approximately $94,500, which serves as a critical support level, while long-term holders have a realized price around $33,000.

  • This divergence in realized prices highlights differing behaviors between short-term and long-term investors.

Summary based on 2 sources


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