Bitcoin Poised for Surge: Technicals and Macro Trends Hint at New All-Time High
October 12, 2025
Recent price action has refined Bitcoin’s trading range and may have formed a bullish Spring or Swing Failure Pattern, often a precursor to strong upward moves.
Bitcoin is showing signs of strength after a healthy correction, with technical signals and macro trends supporting a potential move towards a new all-time high, despite recent fluctuations.
The 4-hour chart indicates momentum loss after breaching the previous high around $125,000, with a Three Drives pattern suggesting buyer exhaustion and a critical support zone near $115,000 to $117,000, aligning with Fibonacci levels.
Open Interest analysis reveals that a decline during consolidation suggests short covering, while rising Open Interest on lower closes could indicate ongoing distribution, which might delay a breakout.
Binance liquidation heatmap shows a cluster of short-liquidation zones between $124,000 and $126,000, which caused a rejection, while larger liquidity pools above $126,000 up to $132,000 hint at institutional interest targeting higher levels.
A Spring or Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) has potentially set the stage for a breakout, with confirmation possible through a higher low on lower volume, signaling a possible rally toward a new all-time high.
On the daily chart, the RSI has cooled from overbought levels, indicating a momentum reset and room for stabilization, but a daily close below $117,000 could lead to a deeper correction towards $108,000.
Elliott Wave analysis shows a three-wave correction pattern from the swing low, which often precedes further upward movement, aligning with Wyckoff's market structure.
Support at a key demand zone and quick buyer response reaffirm underlying strength and bullish sentiment.
Bitcoin faced rejection from the $125,000 to $126,000 liquidity zone, leading to a correction towards the $117,000 to $120,000 support range.
The correction appears healthy and corrective, supported by the 100-day moving average, ascending trendline, and Fibonacci levels, suggesting a higher low formation.
On-chain data indicates a short-term consolidation bias as leveraged positions unwind, but once demand zones stabilize, Bitcoin could surge toward $130,000, continuing its bullish trend.
Market structure analysis suggests Bitcoin may be in a validation phase, where forming a higher low on lower volume could confirm bullish momentum.
Summary based on 3 sources
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Sources

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