South Africa's Crypto Surge: $1 Trillion Outflow Threatens Financial Stability Amid Regulatory Gaps

November 28, 2025
South Africa's Crypto Surge: $1 Trillion Outflow Threatens Financial Stability Amid Regulatory Gaps
  • South Africa faces regulatory gaps as crypto oversight remains incomplete, with the SARB and National Treasury working on cross-border crypto transaction rules and updating Exchange Control Regulations to cover crypto assets.

  • This aligns with global concerns, as the Financial Stability Board warned that SA has no framework for global stablecoins and only partial crypto regulations.

  • The SARB warns that crypto’s borderless nature can enable circumvention of Exchange Control Regulations, highlighting potential regulatory gaps.

  • Standard Chartered projects up to $1 trillion in emerging market bank-deposit outflows over the next three years as savers move into USD-stablecoins and digital dollars.

  • Stablecoin trading activity in SA has surged, rising from about 4 billion rand in 2022 to nearly 80 billion rand by October 2025.

  • South Africa’s economic pressures—low growth, unemployment, rising debt-service costs, and aging infrastructure—are pushing more citizens toward crypto, with growth averaging around 0.39% from 2020 to 2024.

  • As of July, SA’s three largest crypto exchanges combined serve 7.8 million users, holding roughly $1.5 billion in custody at the end of 2024.

  • The broader EM risk pattern shows twin-deficit economies like SA are particularly vulnerable to capital flight driven by stablecoins.

  • There is a structural shift toward USD-backed stablecoins as the main trading pair on SA platforms, due to lower price volatility compared with unbacked crypto assets.

  • Trading volumes for crypto assets have surged, with USD-backed stablecoins driving activity from under 4 billion rand in 2022 to about 80 billion rand by October 2025.

  • SARB’s 2025 Financial Stability Reports flag digital assets and stablecoins as a new risk to financial stability amid rising crypto adoption in SA.

  • Rapid stablecoin adoption poses risks to emerging-market banks, reinforcing the warning about financial stability from digital assets.

  • The central bank underscores crypto assets and stablecoins as ongoing risks in SA’s financial stability landscape amid growing adoption.

Summary based on 3 sources


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