EU Trade Surplus Shrinks Amid Rising U.S. Tariffs and Industrial Decline

June 13, 2025
EU Trade Surplus Shrinks Amid Rising U.S. Tariffs and Industrial Decline
  • In April 2025, the European Union's goods trade surplus with the rest of the world decreased to €7.4 billion, down from €12.8 billion a year earlier, driven by a 1.9% decline in exports and a 0.5% increase in imports.

  • The EU's trade surpluses with key partners such as Britain, Switzerland, and Mexico also declined, while deficits with China, Norway, and South Korea widened during the same month.

  • Exports of machinery and vehicles from the EU fell by 4.3%, alongside declines in raw materials and energy products, although exports of food, drink, and chemicals saw an increase compared to April 2024.

  • Despite the downturn in manufacturing, the EU labor market demonstrated resilience, with employment reaching 197.9 million and a slight increase in the employment rate to 76.1% in the first quarter of 2025.

  • However, the unemployment rate in the EU rose to 5.7% in the same quarter, with total labor market slack at 10.9%, highlighting ongoing challenges despite some consumer spending power.

  • The U.S. has imposed significant tariffs on EU exports, including a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum since March 11, a similar tariff on cars from April 3, and a 25% tariff on car parts from May 3, with metal tariffs doubling to 50% on June 4, 2025.

  • Reciprocal tariffs on most EU goods were initially set at 20% on April 5, 2025, but were quickly reduced to 10% until July 8, 2025.

  • Exports to the U.S. have shown consistent growth, rising each month since January 2024, with both exports and imports from the U.S. increasing for the fourth consecutive month in April.

  • In March 2025, EU exports to the U.S. surged by 59.5%, likely due to U.S. importers stockpiling ahead of the impending tariff increases.

  • The EU achieved a trade surplus of €17.7 billion ($20.4 billion) with the United States in April 2025, an increase from €16.6 billion in April 2024, despite ongoing U.S. tariffs.

  • EU goods exports to the U.S. reached €47.6 billion, while imports totaled €29.9 billion, indicating stable trade relations despite global economic uncertainties.

  • Industrial production in the EU fell by 1.8% in April 2025, with significant declines across various sectors, including non-durable consumer goods, capital goods, and energy output.

Summary based on 3 sources


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Sources

EU trade surplus with US grows in April despite tariffs


EU trade surplus with US grows in April despite tariffs

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