Global Currency Markets React to ECB and Fed Moves; Yen Weakens, Yuan Falls, and Euro Gains Strength
October 2, 2024The Euro has gained strength recently, driven by inflation data and expectations surrounding a potential rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB).
In Japan, the yen slipped to 144.16 as the Bank of Japan's July meeting minutes revealed a split among policymakers regarding interest rate increases.
Meanwhile, the Australian dollar remained stable at $0.6914, while China's yuan weakened to 7.0116 per dollar amid expectations of further monetary easing.
The US Dollar has also weakened, influenced by expectations of lower interest rates, with recent employment data and retail sales impacting its value.
Market expectations for a 50 basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November have significantly decreased, dropping from 53.3% to 35.4% following remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Powell's comments indicated a cautious approach to interest rate cuts, which contributed to a strengthening of the U.S. dollar against major currencies.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde expressed confidence in achieving inflation targets, which will play a crucial role in the ECB's upcoming policy decision.
Key economic events this week, including the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls and the ECB Monetary Policy Meeting, are critical for determining market direction.
In China, the central bank has mandated lenders to reduce mortgage rates by the end of October, coinciding with eased home-buying restrictions in major cities.
In Japan, Shigeru Ishiba is expected to be confirmed as the new prime minister, perceived as a hawk on monetary policy, ahead of a snap election on October 27.
Overall, global risk appetite continues to influence currency markets, with increased risk aversion typically strengthening the U.S. dollar while weakening emerging market currencies.
Geopolitical events and market sentiment remain crucial factors driving financial market movements, emphasizing the complexity beyond just economic data.
Summary based on 4 sources
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Sources
CNBC • Oct 1, 2024
Dollar firm after Powell pushes back on aggressive easing betsInvesting.com • Oct 1, 2024
Dollar firm after Powell pushes back on aggressive easing betsInvesting.com • Oct 1, 2024
Dollar gains after Powell's speech; euro slips ahead of CPI releaseFinanceFeeds • Sep 30, 2024
Global FX Market Summary: Euro, USD, Global Economic Factors: 30 September ,2024 - FinanceFeeds