Global Markets Steady Amid Political Turmoil; Bitcoin Surges Past $100K, Dips Back Below

December 6, 2024
Global Markets Steady Amid Political Turmoil; Bitcoin Surges Past $100K, Dips Back Below
  • Market expectations regarding a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan remain uncertain as policymakers' comments suggest a mixed outlook ahead of their meeting on December 18-19, 2024.

  • Investors are closely watching the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report for November, which is expected to show an increase of 200,000 jobs, a significant rise from only 12,000 in October.

  • In response to the political crisis, French President Emmanuel Macron is seeking a new prime minister after the resignation of Michel Barnier.

  • Bitcoin retreated after surpassing $100,000, currently trading at $97,616, as traders took profits following its all-time high of $103,649.

  • Meanwhile, the South Korean won remained steady at 1415.5, recovering from instability caused by the recent political chaos following the rescinded martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol.

  • On December 6, 2024, major currencies stabilized amidst political turmoil in France and South Korea, following significant government changes.

  • In Europe, most economists anticipate the European Central Bank will implement a 25-basis-point rate cut on December 12, 2024, despite ongoing political instability.

  • The euro was down 0.05% at $1.0582, moving away from a two-year low as political stability in France was sought after President Emmanuel Macron's government faced a vote of no confidence.

  • The U.S. dollar rose 0.05% to 105.77 against a basket of six major currencies, recovering slightly after a dip towards a three-week low.

  • Current market expectations indicate a 72% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve during their meeting on December 17-18, 2024.

  • Analysts suggest the Federal Reserve is cautious about the anticipated payroll rebound and may consider a rate cut if the unemployment rate remains above 4.0%.

Summary based on 2 sources


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