Amazon's Stock Faces Turbulence Amid Slowing Growth, But Potential Rebound Looms
May 10, 2025
Amazon continues to be a significant player in the 'Magnificent Seven' stocks, which has heightened investor interest in its future performance.
With a market capitalization of around $2 trillion, Amazon is transitioning into a mature company, reflecting a shift in its growth dynamics.
Industry forecasts remain optimistic, predicting continued growth for e-commerce at a 19% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) and cloud computing at 20% CAGR through 2030.
Despite challenges in sales growth, Amazon's operating margin improved to 11.8%, indicating effective cost management.
In the first quarter of 2025, Amazon reported a net income of $17 billion, marking a remarkable 64% increase from the previous year, showcasing strong profitability.
However, online sales growth slowed to 6% in Q1 2025, down from 7% the previous year, suggesting a potential slowdown in consumer spending.
Additionally, the growth of Amazon's third-party seller services has dropped to 7% annually, a stark contrast to previous double-digit increases, signaling challenges ahead.
Amazon Web Services (AWS) also faced a decline in growth, down to 17% year-over-year from 18% in 2024, contributing to investor uncertainty.
The company's stock has struggled recently, showing no net gains over the past year and falling over 25% since February 2025, raising concerns among investors.
Amazon's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has significantly decreased from above 100 two years ago to 30, reflecting a reduced valuation premium.
Concerns regarding tariffs could impact online sales and third-party services, although ongoing trade renegotiations may help mitigate these effects in the short term.
Despite these challenges, the combination of a low P/E ratio, potential resolution of tariff issues, and strong industry growth could lead to significant stock price increases over the next year.
Summary based on 1 source
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The Motley Fool • May 10, 2025
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