Prediction Markets Face Regulatory Scrutiny Over Insider Trading Amid Expansion

February 26, 2026
Prediction Markets Face Regulatory Scrutiny Over Insider Trading Amid Expansion
  • Kalshi notes it has conducted around 200 investigations over the past year, with about a dozen still active, reinforcing its stance on deterrence and transparency.

  • Online prediction markets, led by platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, are expanding, but face ongoing regulatory scrutiny and legal questions about insider trading on these markets.

  • The discourse surrounding insider trading risks in prediction markets remains active, with involvement of political figures in advisory roles at Kalshi and Polymarket noted as part of broader debates.

  • Other prediction markets have faced similar concerns, underscoring persistent worries about insider information shaping outcomes in this new financial domain.

  • Enforcement actions in these cases are non-criminal and proceed under Kalshi's rulebook, with investigations expected to conclude in roughly a year and a formal hearing process in place.

  • Kalshi says these actions are part of a broader enforcement program led by lawyer Robert DeNault and may be reported to the CFTC.

  • Beast Industries has a strict no-tolerance policy on using proprietary information and has launched an independent internal inquiry.

  • MrBeast’s production company emphasizes zero tolerance for insider trading and upholding ethical standards.

  • Beast Industries prohibits employees from wagering on markets tied to MrBeast using proprietary information.

  • An editor connected to MrBeast’s show accessed material non-public information, prompting Kalshi to freeze the account and report the case to the CFTC.

  • Kalshi reported the insider-trading case to the CFTC and will donate the more than $20,000 in fines to a nonprofit dedicated to educating consumers about derivatives markets.

  • Kalshi’s fines from insider-trading cases are earmarked for a consumer-education nonprofit, with ongoing public disclosures of such actions.

Summary based on 14 sources


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