Tempus AI Revenue Surges 36% in Q1 2026, Oncology Drives Growth

May 5, 2026
Tempus AI Revenue Surges 36% in Q1 2026, Oncology Drives Growth
  • Tempus AI reported Q1 2026 revenue of $348 million, up 36.1% year over year, with adjusted net loss per share of $0.13, narrowing by 45.8% from the prior year.

  • Data licensing and modeling revenue (Insights) grew more than 44%, contributing to a third consecutive quarter with bookings exceeding $100 million and higher total contract value.

  • Diagnostics business generated $261.1 million in Q1, up 34.7% year over year, led by oncology volume and an AI-assisted diagnostic platform gaining traction in oncology.

  • MRD assay volume grew about 500% year over year but remains modest in unit count, roughly 6,500 tests, with expectations for improved reimbursement and rollout to lift volumes later in the year.

  • XG assay grew 50% year over year on a small base; MRD volume rose 500% year over year but remains modest at about 6,500 tests, with growth contingent on reimbursement and scale.

  • Management said there is no need for additional cash or refinancing, and most main assays are expected to gain FDA approval over time, with billing driven by medical necessity; data licensing expansion and ASP uplift are key growth levers.

  • Oncology remains a major driver, with an attach rate for oncology algorithms around 40% and notable growth in MRD and XG assays from small bases, while late-stage adoption and therapy selection diagnostics are expanding, and neurology contributions are emerging.

  • Hereditary testing trends slowed in Q1 due to tough year-over-year comparisons, with mid-teens growth expected in the second half of 2026.

  • Regulatory and product updates include XF and XT assays in play, with XF submission feedback pending and XT amendment for a tumor-only version moving toward a near-term decision; ASP is expected to rise by up to about $500 over 1–2 years as more FDA approvals materialize.

  • The ASP is currently around $17.20–$17.40, with potential ASP uplift of roughly $500 over the next 1–2 years as FDA approvals accumulate and Alzheimer's data licensing expands the mix.

  • Strategic pharma collaborations expanded, including a large multi-year data and modeling agreement with Merck and an expanded partnership with Gilead, signaling stronger pipeline visibility.

  • Data licensing mix remains oncology-dominated, with therapy selection data driving most revenue, while neurology licensing starts to diversify, evidenced by an Alzheimer's modeling project.

Summary based on 4 sources


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