IMF Forecasts Steady Global Growth Amid Economic Challenges and Rising Geopolitical Risks
October 21, 2024
The projected growth rates are notably below historical averages, raising concerns about potential macroeconomic imbalances and social issues in various regions.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects global economic growth to stabilize at 3.2% for both 2024 and 2025, although low-income developing countries are facing significant downgrades.
In the eurozone, growth is expected to reach only 0.8% this year, with Germany particularly struggling due to challenges in manufacturing and real estate.
A recent report estimates a cumulative loss of $50 billion in investment opportunities from 2020 to 2030 due to various crises, reinforcing calls for reform in the global development financing system.
Despite a general easing of inflation, high inflation remains a significant challenge for the global economy, with concerns about geopolitical conflicts exacerbating the situation.
China's economic growth forecast has been revised down to 4.8% for this year, a slight decrease from the previous estimate of 5% made earlier in July.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has raised alarms about China's substantial subsidies, which she claims threaten U.S. manufacturing jobs in critical sectors like electric vehicles and semiconductors.
Low-income countries are grappling with high debt levels, a situation exemplified by Sri Lanka's struggles even after debt restructuring efforts.
The Financial Times emphasizes the necessity for global cooperation to address pressing issues such as trade wars, climate change, and debt crises, highlighting the historical significance of institutions like the IMF and World Bank.
Australian Treasurer Dr. Chalmers has reiterated the government's commitment to managing inflation while also enhancing economic productivity and repairing the budget.
Proposed actions for industrialized nations include advancing social reforms and adjusting spending priorities to mitigate the impacts of rising debts.
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has pointed out that climate risks are adversely affecting the economic outlook for several countries.
Summary based on 103 sources
Get a daily email with more Macroeconomics stories
Sources

The Guardian • Oct 22, 2024
IMF forecasts faster growth for UK economy
The Guardian • Oct 22, 2024
While the IMF is upbeat about global growth it knows where dangers lurk
Forbes • Oct 22, 2024
IMF Forecasts Global Economy To Grow 3.2% In 2025
BBC News • Oct 22, 2024
UK growth 'set to accelerate' to 1.5% next year, says IMF