China Aims for 5% Growth Amid US Tensions, Plans Economic Boost with Venture Capital Fund

April 28, 2025
China Aims for 5% Growth Amid US Tensions, Plans Economic Boost with Venture Capital Fund
  • To counteract these challenges, the government plans to boost consumption and expedite the establishment of a national venture capital fund, with initiatives expected to launch in the second quarter of 2025.

  • Amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, China has announced new measures aimed at stabilizing employment, the economy, and foreign trade.

  • On April 28, 2025, Zhao Chenxin, vice head of the National Development and Reform Commission, expressed optimism about achieving a 5% economic growth target for the year.

  • However, major financial institutions, including the International Monetary Fund, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, have revised their growth forecasts for China downward, indicating challenges in reaching this target.

  • The Politburo has emphasized the importance of strengthening service consumption as a key driver of economic growth, highlighting the need for a robust recovery.

  • Zhao also stressed the necessity of stabilizing the capital market and increasing financial support for the struggling real estate sector.

  • Despite some economic support measures introduced since September 2024, large-scale stimulus has yet to materialize, leading to cautious investor sentiment.

  • While Zhao did not announce new support measures, he indicated that policies would be implemented in the second quarter based on evolving economic conditions.

  • In response to economic challenges, the government plans to enhance support for vulnerable consumers, including increased assistance for elderly individuals with disabilities and measures to boost automobile sector consumption.

  • The job market faces pressure with an unprecedented 12.22 million higher education graduates entering in 2025, contributing to a youth unemployment rate of 16.5%.

  • Analysts predict that additional monetary and fiscal stimulus measures will be necessary in the coming months to support economic growth.

  • Consumer spending has become a crucial component of China's economic growth, accounting for nearly 45% last year, surpassing investments and exports.

Summary based on 40 sources


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