Global Debt Nears 100% of GDP: IMF Urges Transparency to Prevent Crisis

June 13, 2025
Global Debt Nears 100% of GDP: IMF Urges Transparency to Prevent Crisis
  • Public debt is projected to reach nearly 100% of global GDP by the end of the decade, which will significantly increase pressure on governments, particularly in emerging markets.

  • As governments face rising debt service costs, they are left with limited resources for social programs and investments, which in turn raises borrowing costs.

  • The presence of hidden debt can undermine government confidence, leading to higher borrowing costs and an increased risk of a debt crisis.

  • Legal definitions of public debt often exclude significant sources, such as state-owned enterprises, resulting in off-balance-sheet accumulation that complicates transparency.

  • A recent IMF policy paper highlighted significant debt disclosure gaps in low-income and emerging market countries, particularly related to non-marketable and SOE debt.

  • The IMF emphasizes the importance of legal frameworks in ensuring debt transparency, pointing out gaps in public debt legislation across 85 countries.

  • Debt transparency is essential for effective management and requires clear laws and strong institutions to ensure proper reporting and oversight.

  • To combat hidden debt, countries should enact and implement laws mandating debt disclosure and establish accountability through audits.

  • Legal reform can foster consensus and resilience, transforming debt transparency into a long-term commitment rather than a short-term policy choice.

  • In response to these challenges, the IMF has increased technical assistance on debt management, conducting over 200 missions in two years to improve public debt transparency frameworks.

  • IMF policies now require detailed debt disclosure, including the identification of public debt holders, to enhance overall transparency.

  • Transparency involves not only data collection but also legal clarity, institutional accountability, and the establishment of public trust.

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