Fed Resists Trump's Call for 1% Rate Amid Inflation Concerns and Economic Stability
July 14, 2025
President Trump has publicly advocated for a 1% interest rate to reduce government borrowing costs and fund rising deficits driven by his spending and tax policies.
Economists warn that lowering rates to 1% could risk reigniting inflation and threaten the Fed's independence, especially if perceived as yielding to political pressure.
Current economic indicators, including a 4.1% unemployment rate, 2% growth, and 2.5% inflation, suggest no immediate need for drastic rate cuts.
A 1% rate is typically a response to economic crises, not a sign of a robust economy, which is characterized by near-full employment and stable growth.
Increased government deficits from recent spending proposals are likely to push interest rates higher as investors demand more compensation for risk.
Trump's recent direct communications with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, including a handwritten note suggesting lower rates, have raised concerns about the independence of the Fed.
While the Fed influences the federal funds rate, other interest rates, such as those on Treasuries, are determined by global supply and demand dynamics.
The Federal Reserve remains cautious about cutting interest rates amid ongoing uncertainties, including potential inflation from Trump's tariffs, and suggests rates are unlikely to fall to the 1% level Trump advocates until inflationary pressures are evaluated.
Interest rates are influenced by global demand for U.S. Treasuries and economic conditions, with larger deficits generally pushing rates higher.
Historically, a 1% Fed policy rate has been associated with economic downturns, such as during the 2008 financial crisis and the dot-com bust, often reflecting periods of high unemployment and hardship.
The Fed's influence is limited to setting the federal funds rate, which acts as a benchmark for other interest rates and impacts various credit markets.
Trust in U.S. institutions is crucial for maintaining low borrowing costs; threats to Fed leadership can influence market perceptions and yields.
Summary based on 2 sources
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Sources

Investing.com • Jul 14, 2025
Explainer-Why Trump’s push for a 1% Fed policy rate could spell trouble for US economy
The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO • Jul 14, 2025
Explainer-Why Trump’s push for a 1% Fed policy rate could spell trouble for US economy