Krishna: Unpredictable U.S. Stance Stalls Quick India-U.S. Trade Deal Amid Global Trade Tensions

October 12, 2025
Krishna: Unpredictable U.S. Stance Stalls Quick India-U.S. Trade Deal Amid Global Trade Tensions
  • Krishna warns that the unpredictable stance of the U.S. makes a quick India-U.S. trade agreement unlikely, viewing current tactics as pressure to gain concessions.

  • China's rapid industrialization around 2000, facilitated by WTO membership, demonstrates how emerging economies can leverage multilateral trade rules to become superpowers.

  • The U.S. shifted from opposing free trade agreements to embracing them in the 1980s and 1990s, then focusing on bilateral negotiations to maximize leverage, driven by changing economic interests.

  • De-industrialization in the U.S., worsened by China's WTO entry, has become a key political issue, leading to protectionism and disrupting global trade norms.

  • Economist Pravin Krishna notes that the U.S. has been gradually distancing itself from the global trade system for over two decades, with this trend accelerating under Trump and Biden.

  • The EU's strict environmental and labor standards pose additional challenges for India in free trade negotiations, requiring strategic flexibility.

  • India aims to balance protecting vulnerable agricultural sectors with economic reforms in trade talks, considering phased protections or exemptions.

  • The decline in U.S. commitment to multilateral institutions like the WTO is linked to its preference for bilateral agreements, which are seen as more advantageous for exerting economic power.

  • Krishna suggests India should diversify trade through bilateral agreements and platforms like BRICS, but criticizes its cautious and self-protective approach.

  • The U.S. allegedly uses issues like Russian oil and H-1B visas as leverage to pressure India in ongoing trade negotiations, reflecting broader strategic motives.

  • The collapse of the WTO dispute settlement mechanism under Trump and its failure to be restored by Biden have worsened global trade tensions, weakening WTO rules.

Summary based on 1 source


Get a daily email with more Global Economy stories

More Stories