U.S.-China Trade Tensions Persist in Cyclical Pattern, Avoiding Economic Decoupling
October 20, 2025
The U.S. is actively working to reduce reliance on Chinese imports and is investing heavily in domestic industries like artificial intelligence, especially in data center financing.
Morgan Stanley analysts observe a cyclical pattern in U.S.-China trade tensions, with both sides avoiding a complete economic split due to the high costs involved.
Recent trade tensions escalated after China expanded controls over rare earth exports, prompting threats of retaliatory tariffs from the U.S., but there are signs of potential easing.
Both nations are carefully calibrating their actions to prevent severe economic fallout, maintaining a delicate and cautious balance in their relationship.
Analysts believe that the pattern of negotiations and temporary truces will likely continue rather than lead to a permanent trade peace or complete decoupling, reflecting the complex nature of their relationship.
The ongoing trade disputes are marked by cycles of tariffs, export controls, and market volatility, with no lasting resolution in sight.
Summary based on 1 source
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Investing.com • Oct 20, 2025
Is a pattern emerging in U.S.-China trade tensions? Morgan Stanley weighs in.