U.S. Services Sector Rebounds in July; ISM PMI Surges to 51.4, Defying Expectations

August 5, 2024
U.S. Services Sector Rebounds in July; ISM PMI Surges to 51.4, Defying Expectations
  • U.S. services sector activity rebounded in July 2024, with the ISM Services PMI rising to 51.4, surpassing the consensus estimate of 51.0 and significantly up from 48.8 in June.

  • A PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in the services sector, which is crucial as it represents over two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

  • This marks the fifth month of expansion for the composite index in 2024, according to the Institute for Supply Management.

  • Despite the overall growth, the Employment index saw a significant decrease, dropping to 46.1 from the prior figure.

  • However, the services employment measure increased to 51.1 from 46.1, suggesting that the slowdown in nonfarm payrolls did not indicate a decline in the labor market.

  • Nonfarm payrolls grew by 114,000 in July, marking the second smallest gain this year.

  • The unemployment rate increased to 4.3% in July, the highest level in nearly three years, up from 4.1% in June.

  • The ISM's measure of new orders rose to 52.4 in July, up from a low of 47.3 in June, signaling renewed demand.

  • Business Activity/Production improved to 54.5, rising from 49.6 in June, indicating a positive shift in service sector dynamics.

  • Services inflation saw a slight increase, with the ISM's prices paid measure for services rising to 57.0 from 56.3 in June.

  • Financial markets are also anticipating rate cuts in November and December, following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 5.25%-5.50%.

Summary based on 2 sources


Get a daily email with more Macroeconomics stories

More Stories