Goldman Sachs: Positive Revenue Growth Persists Despite Election Uncertainty and Stabilizing Labor Market
August 19, 2024
Goldman Sachs' recent report reveals ongoing positive real revenue growth, while also noting that election uncertainty has a marginal impact on business investment.
The uncertainty surrounding the upcoming election is affecting capital expenditure decisions, resulting in a 5 percentage point decrease in capex growth among impacted companies.
Many companies, especially in the financial and government contracting sectors, are postponing investment decisions until after the election, anticipating a surge in activity post-election.
The labor market has reportedly fully rebalanced, with labor shortages and costs returning to pre-pandemic levels, alleviating some concerns about excessive rebalancing.
While there are concerns about the labor market, mentions of layoffs during earnings calls have reverted to levels seen before the pandemic.
Despite narratives suggesting a significant decline in consumer health, Goldman Sachs' findings indicate a more optimistic outlook.
Sentiment analysis from consumer-related discussions in earnings calls shows improvement, with positive real income growth reported across all income groups.
Goldman Sachs analysts assessed Q2 corporate earnings, concluding that fears of a consumer slowdown are largely exaggerated.
Revenue growth has stabilized at a healthy 2.4% year-over-year for the second consecutive quarter, aligning with Goldman Sachs' short-term GDP growth estimates.
The research conducted by Goldman Sachs covered 93% of companies that reported earnings, providing valuable macroeconomic insights derived from micro-level data.
Summary based on 1 source
Get a daily email with more Macroeconomics stories
Source

Investing.com • Aug 19, 2024
GS analysis: Earnings results suggest consumer slowdown concerns overstated