German Consumer Sentiment Stagnates Despite Election Boost; Savings Surge Amid Economic Uncertainty

March 28, 2025
German Consumer Sentiment Stagnates Despite Election Boost; Savings Surge Amid Economic Uncertainty
  • In March 2025, the savings indicator rose significantly by 4.4 points to 13.8, marking the highest level since April 2024.

  • Conservative leader Friedrich Merz is currently in coalition talks with the Social Democrats, aiming to form a government by or shortly after Easter, although disagreements on immigration persist.

  • Income expectations increased by 2.3 points to -3.1 in March 2025, although they remain below last year's levels.

  • Consumer hopes for economic revival have improved, with the relevant indicator rising by 5.7 points to 6.9, but future expectations hinge on the effective implementation of a recently approved financial package.

  • The German economy contracted for the second consecutive year in 2024, suggesting that recovery may take time as it lags behind other European economies.

  • Although expectations for income growth and willingness to buy have improved, a greater propensity to save may hinder a stronger recovery in consumer sentiment.

  • A recent consumer study conducted for the EU Commission, surveying 2,000 individuals between late February and early March 2025, reveals mixed sentiments regarding the German economy.

  • The GfK consumer climate index for April 2025 shows a slight increase to -24.5 points, up from -24.6 in March, indicating a persistently negative outlook.

  • NIM consumption expert Rolf Bürkl noted that while the elections have alleviated some consumer pessimism, the rising tendency to save reflects ongoing uncertainty.

  • The consumer climate index forecasts trends in private consumption, with readings below zero indicating a decrease in year-on-year consumption.

  • Key factors contributing to the weak consumer climate include high prices, low incomes, and ongoing political and economic uncertainty.

  • Despite some signs of improvement in consumer mood following the federal elections and approved investment packages, overall sentiment remains low.

Summary based on 3 sources


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