Canada Braces for Economic Slowdown: Recession Looms, Job Losses Hit Auto Sector

April 29, 2025
Canada Braces for Economic Slowdown: Recession Looms, Job Losses Hit Auto Sector
  • Canada's potential growth rate is projected to drop below 1%, necessitating action to address long-standing structural weaknesses in the economy.

  • RBC Economics forecasts a recession-like environment, predicting stagnant growth and job losses, particularly affecting the auto sector and regions like Ontario and Quebec.

  • Investors are likely to back targeted government spending during a recession, provided it is appropriately sized and contributes to economic resilience.

  • Low- and middle-income Canadians are facing heightened financial strain due to rising prices, reduced savings, and stagnant wages, highlighting the need for targeted federal support.

  • To effectively address both immediate and long-term economic challenges, fiscal policy is considered a more effective tool than monetary policy.

  • Although fiscal space for government spending is limited, it can be strategically utilized to mitigate potential tariff shocks and support initiatives that foster economic growth.

  • Canada is entering a challenging economic period characterized by slow growth under a new federal government.

  • In the event of significant tariff increases, Canada may need substantial fiscal measures, which could elevate the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to levels reminiscent of the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Government investments in housing, defense, and healthcare should focus on enhancing economic growth, despite concerns about potentially crowding out other growth areas.

  • A shift in focus is necessary between social and business investments to stimulate growth while managing costs amid ongoing social challenges.

Summary based on 1 source


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