Mortgage Rates Decline Amid Federal Reserve Policy Shifts: Key Insights for June 2025

June 12, 2025
Mortgage Rates Decline Amid Federal Reserve Policy Shifts: Key Insights for June 2025
  • The average for 30-year refinance mortgages has decreased to 7.09%, down from a peak of 7.32% in May 2025.

  • During the COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed's bond-buying policies kept mortgage rates low until tapering began in November 2021, followed by aggressive hikes to combat inflation.

  • The Fed began cutting rates in September 2024 but has maintained a steady rate since then, potentially delaying further cuts into 2025.

  • As of June 12, 2025, the national average for various mortgage types includes a 30-Year Fixed at 6.91%, FHA 30-Year Fixed at 7.03%, 15-Year Fixed at 5.98%, Jumbo 30-Year Fixed at 6.90%, and a 5/6 ARM at 7.15%.

  • Conversely, as of June 12, 2025, states with the lowest 30-year refinance rates include New York, California, and Connecticut, with averages between 6.90% and 7.04%.

  • Changes in mortgage rates are influenced by a combination of macroeconomic factors, including bond market trends and Federal Reserve policies.

  • It is advisable for borrowers to shop around and compare mortgage rates regularly, as they can differ significantly between lenders.

  • Currently, the average for 30-year new purchase mortgages is 6.91%, reflecting a decrease from a mid-May high of 7.15%.

  • The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, particularly its bond purchase tapering and interest rate adjustments, has significantly influenced mortgage rates, especially during the aggressive rate hikes of 2022 and 2023.

  • Mortgage rates can vary by state due to factors such as local lender practices, credit scores, average loan sizes, and state regulations.

  • States with the highest 30-year mortgage rates include Alaska, West Virginia, and Mississippi, where rates range from 6.99% to 7.08%.

  • Current mortgage rate averages assume an 80% loan-to-value ratio and a credit score range of 680-739, which may differ from advertised teaser rates.

Summary based on 2 sources


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Sources

Today's Lowest Mortgage Rates by State - June 12, 2025

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