German Economy Rebounds: Growth Forecast Raised to 0.3% for 2025

June 13, 2025
German Economy Rebounds: Growth Forecast Raised to 0.3% for 2025
  • The German economy is set to grow by 0.3% in 2025, marking a recovery after two years of contraction, according to a report from DIW Berlin dated June 13, 2025.

  • This growth estimate has been revised upward from an earlier prediction of 0.1%, thanks to a stronger-than-expected first quarter growth of 0.4%.

  • A combination of a significant investment package and improved financing conditions is anticipated to provide a substantial boost to the economy.

  • In March 2025, Germany's parliament approved a major spending plan that includes a 500-billion-euro ($577 billion) infrastructure fund and modifications to defense investment borrowing rules.

  • Additionally, an expected government investment package is projected to further stimulate economic activity by the end of the year.

  • Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, DIW’s chief economist, highlighted that the positive start to the year could help avert another year of stagnation.

  • Looking ahead, DIW forecasts a growth increase to 1.7% for 2026, significantly higher than the previous estimate of 1.1%.

  • This upward revision marks the fifth economic institute to adjust its growth forecasts positively for both 2025 and 2026.

  • However, challenges remain, particularly as U.S. trade policies are likely to impact German foreign trade and the broader global economic landscape.

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