Australia Faces Housing Crisis Amidst Stagnant Productivity and Building Delays

July 18, 2025
Australia Faces Housing Crisis Amidst Stagnant Productivity and Building Delays
  • An upcoming Economic Reform Roundtable scheduled for August 19-21 aims to address these issues by focusing on strategies to improve productivity, with key industry figures participating.

  • Australia's economy has been hampered by weak productivity growth, averaging just 0.2% annually from 2017 to 2024, which has significant implications for the housing market and overall economic health.

  • In the first quarter of 2025, only 43,517 new homes were completed, falling well short of the 60,000 homes per quarter needed to reach the 1.2 million target by 2029, highlighting a significant undersupply.

  • The housing shortfall is estimated to be between 200,000 and 300,000 dwellings, with the government's failure to meet building targets exacerbating the problem.

  • Economist Shane Oliver suggests that boosting productivity could positively influence the housing market by possibly lowering interest rates, even if higher real interest rates pose a risk.

  • If productivity can be increased, it could ease housing supply shortages and potentially lower property prices, which would benefit both mortgage brokers and prospective homebuyers.

  • This sluggish productivity is compounded by supply chain disruptions, increased regulation, labour shortages, and a 53% rise in material costs, all of which have delayed home building projects.

  • As a result, the time to build a detached house has increased markedly, from around 8.5 months in 2014 to 12.7 months in 2024, with Western Australia experiencing an 85% rise, contributing to housing supply constraints.

  • The Property Council emphasizes the need for government support in the housebuilding sector, noting that the lengthy process of building homes impacts future buyers and renters.

  • The sluggish productivity growth has constrained economic capacity, leading to slower growth in incomes, wages, and consumption, thereby affecting the mortgage finance market.

Summary based on 1 source


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