Canada's Economy Faces Crisis: GDP Down, Unemployment Up, Urgent Reforms Needed

September 15, 2025
Canada's Economy Faces Crisis: GDP Down, Unemployment Up, Urgent Reforms Needed
  • Canada's economy is facing significant challenges, including a downturn in GDP, rising unemployment, and a housing crisis, all rooted in deep structural weaknesses that require comprehensive reforms.

  • The OECD highlights issues such as declining real GDP per capita, stagnant productivity growth, a housing affordability crisis, and an overreliance on U.S. trade, which makes Canada vulnerable to tariffs and geopolitical shocks.

  • Over the past two decades, Canada's labor productivity growth has been about 0.8% annually—half that of the U.S.—largely due to reliance on lower-productivity immigrants and underinvestment in capital.

  • The housing market has deteriorated, with prices up 120% since 2007, driven by restrictive zoning, permitting delays, labor shortages in construction, and demographic pressures from rapid immigration.

  • In 2025, Canada's GDP shrank by 1.6% in the second quarter, and August saw a loss of 66,000 jobs, pushing the unemployment rate to 7.1%, the highest since 2016 outside the pandemic period.

  • To address these issues, policy recommendations include easing zoning restrictions through provincial 'right-to-build' policies, reforming immigration to better match labor market needs, and expanding trade infrastructure and interprovincial trade to reduce dependence on the U.S.

  • Canada's trade model is highly concentrated, with over 75% of exports going to the U.S., exposing the economy to tariff risks and geopolitical disruptions, while internal trade barriers hinder diversification and growth.

  • Addressing Canada's productivity, trade fragility, and housing dysfunction requires large-scale reforms in tax policy, immigration, infrastructure, and zoning to promote investment, innovation, and sustainable growth.

Summary based on 1 source


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