IMF Projects UAE's Robust Economic Growth: 4.8% by 2025, Driven by Diversification and Recovery
October 15, 2025
The IMF has revised its outlook for the UAE's economy, projecting a real GDP growth of 4.8 percent for 2025 and maintaining a strong 5 percent forecast for 2026, highlighting the country's resilience and ongoing diversification efforts.
This positive outlook is driven by successful diversification, export expansion, and a recovery in sectors such as tourism, construction, financial services, and infrastructure, supported by a rebound in hydrocarbon production.
The IMF emphasizes the importance of structural reforms, rebuilding fiscal buffers, and maintaining policy transparency to sustain economic resilience amid global uncertainties.
In addition to economic growth, the UAE is actively promoting its financial sector through international partnerships, including hosting a UAE Banks Reception during the 2025 IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings in Washington, D.C.
These projections and initiatives were outlined in the IMF's World Economic Outlook published on October 15, 2025.
Overall, the forecast reflects a positive economic trajectory for the UAE, signaling a robust recovery and strong regional growth.
The IMF's outlook underscores the UAE's strategic focus on economic diversification and resilience, positioning it for continued growth in the coming years.
Summary based on 2 sources
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Sources

Zawya • Oct 15, 2025
IMF raises its forecast for UAE’s GDP to 4.8% for 2025, 5% for 2026
Economy Middle East • Oct 15, 2025
IMF raises UAE GDP growth projections to 5 percent for 2026 with Middle East growth at 3.8 percent