Australia's Inflation Eases, RBA Eyes November Rate Decision Amid Global Economic Shifts

August 25, 2026
Australia's Inflation Eases, RBA Eyes November Rate Decision Amid Global Economic Shifts
  • Australia’s July 2026 inflation slowed to 3.5% from 3.8% in June, the lowest since last November, but the Reserve Bank of Australia may still hike again in September if underlying inflation proves stubborn.

  • The RBA’s target range remains 2-3%, with current readings above the goal across headline and underlying measures.

  • Trimmed mean inflation held at 3.6% in July, signaling persistent underlying price pressures that keep the rate outlook uncertain.

  • In India, domestic buyers including long-term investors and state lenders helped cap yields, while insurers, pension funds, corporates, and the central bank bought longer-dated bonds for nine straight sessions, with state banks acting as value buyers amid oil-driven yield moves.

  • Markets showed initial declines in developed-market yields on US buybacks, then rebounded as crude prices rose and PMI data came in; the USD weakened on fiscal concerns, while the INR faces intervention chatter and importer hedging, aided by abundant domestic liquidity via VRRR operations.

  • Oil pricing feeds through to higher transport and production costs, which can lift prices for groceries, travel, and everyday goods.

  • Geopolitical tensions and potential supply disruptions add to oil price volatility and inflation risk in India.

  • Adequate staple inventories, including rice and wheat, support domestic food availability according to industry observers.

  • DroneShield posted a loss while Flight Centre withheld forward guidance, underscoring cautious outlooks in travel and security-technology sectors.

  • Minutes noted strong financial positions among domestic banks and households, suggesting resilience to rising financial pressures despite stability concerns.

  • Industry voices raised concerns about AI’s impact and ethics in finance and governance, reflecting broader caution on technological disruption.

  • RBI leaders defended a flexible, data-driven approach amid evolving conditions in India’s monetary policy framework.

Summary based on 25 sources


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Sources

India bonds cling to range as traders parse oil risk


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