New AI Model Predicts Postpartum Depression Risk, Aiding Early Intervention

May 19, 2025
New AI Model Predicts Postpartum Depression Risk, Aiding Early Intervention
  • Postpartum depression affects up to 15% of individuals after childbirth, underscoring the critical need for early identification to enhance mental health interventions.

  • The model was created using data from 29,168 patients who delivered at Mass General Brigham between 2017 and 2022, where 9% met the criteria for PPD within six months.

  • By analyzing easily accessible clinical and demographic data from electronic health records (EHR), the model assesses PPD risk at the time of delivery.

  • The study, published in the American Journal of Psychiatry, excluded individuals with a prior history of depression, focusing on new parents who may be at risk.

  • Researchers have developed a machine learning model that identifies women at high risk for postpartum depression (PPD) immediately after childbirth, addressing a significant gap in early mental health support.

  • This predictive tool aims to improve maternal mental health outcomes by facilitating earlier identification and intervention for postpartum patients.

  • Researchers are currently prospectively validating the model's accuracy and collaborating with clinicians to integrate it into clinical practice for early PPD identification.

  • The study, led by Dr. Mark Clapp and Dr. Roy Perlis, emphasizes the importance of collaboration between obstetricians and psychiatrists to implement preventive strategies.

  • The model demonstrated consistent performance across various racial, ethnic, and age demographics, effectively identifying low-risk patients without previous psychiatric diagnoses.

  • With a specificity of 90%, the model achieved a positive predictive value of 24.4% and a negative predictive value of 94.7%, showcasing its reliability.

  • In testing, the model effectively ruled out PPD in 90% of cases and predicted that nearly 30% of those flagged as high-risk developed PPD within six months.

  • Untreated PPD significantly contributes to maternal morbidity, playing a role in up to 20% of maternal deaths by suicide, highlighting the urgency of effective screening.

Summary based on 6 sources


Get a daily email with more Science stories

More Stories