New AI Model Predicts Postpartum Depression Risk, Aiding Early Intervention
May 19, 2025
Postpartum depression affects up to 15% of individuals after childbirth, underscoring the critical need for early identification to enhance mental health interventions.
The model was created using data from 29,168 patients who delivered at Mass General Brigham between 2017 and 2022, where 9% met the criteria for PPD within six months.
By analyzing easily accessible clinical and demographic data from electronic health records (EHR), the model assesses PPD risk at the time of delivery.
The study, published in the American Journal of Psychiatry, excluded individuals with a prior history of depression, focusing on new parents who may be at risk.
Researchers have developed a machine learning model that identifies women at high risk for postpartum depression (PPD) immediately after childbirth, addressing a significant gap in early mental health support.
This predictive tool aims to improve maternal mental health outcomes by facilitating earlier identification and intervention for postpartum patients.
Researchers are currently prospectively validating the model's accuracy and collaborating with clinicians to integrate it into clinical practice for early PPD identification.
The study, led by Dr. Mark Clapp and Dr. Roy Perlis, emphasizes the importance of collaboration between obstetricians and psychiatrists to implement preventive strategies.
The model demonstrated consistent performance across various racial, ethnic, and age demographics, effectively identifying low-risk patients without previous psychiatric diagnoses.
With a specificity of 90%, the model achieved a positive predictive value of 24.4% and a negative predictive value of 94.7%, showcasing its reliability.
In testing, the model effectively ruled out PPD in 90% of cases and predicted that nearly 30% of those flagged as high-risk developed PPD within six months.
Untreated PPD significantly contributes to maternal morbidity, playing a role in up to 20% of maternal deaths by suicide, highlighting the urgency of effective screening.
Summary based on 6 sources
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Sources

Nature • May 19, 2025
AI tool flags people at high risk of postpartum depression
ScienceDaily • May 19, 2025
Machine learning model helps identify patients at risk of postpartum depression
Medscape • May 21, 2025
New Tool Identifies Women at High Risk for Postpartum Depression
Medical Xpress • May 19, 2025
Machine learning model predicts postpartum depression risk using health record data