Global M&A Set to Soar Amid $4.3 Trillion Private-Equity Surge and Easing Geopolitical Tensions

July 9, 2026
Global M&A Set to Soar Amid $4.3 Trillion Private-Equity Surge and Easing Geopolitical Tensions
  • Deal momentum picked up in the second quarter, as announced transactions rose more than 64% year over year and completions climbed over 33%, led by software, utilities, energy, and healthcare.

  • As geopolitical uncertainty eases, deal opportunities are likely to expand, with private-equity sponsors sitting on roughly $4.3 trillion of dry powder ready for active investing.

  • However, risks remain, including the possibility of higher interest rates that could lift financing costs and dampen activity, especially for leveraged buyouts.

  • The upcoming second-quarter earnings from major U.S. banks are likely to shape the sales cycle and deal pipeline, offering fresh insight into the dealmaking environment, debt markets, and equity issuance.

  • Morgan Stanley now forecasts global M&A will hit a record $6.4 trillion in 2026, driven by buoyant equity markets and renewed corporate confidence.

  • Regulatory sentiment under the Trump administration is viewed as more permissive toward large deals, potentially reducing antitrust hurdles and supporting a more constructive M&A backdrop.

Summary based on 1 source


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