Defensive consistency issues and two of his last three games shooting under 40% from inside the arc contribute to questions about his draft positioning.

Bleacher Report’s evaluation places Wilson at No. 4 in a recent mock, underscoring his high dunk total—28 over six games—and his ability to use his handle to create easy baskets, while noting that consistency remains a work in progress.

Note that a closing line references a separate, unrelated Spurs-Magic game ending; it is not part of Wilson’s profile or the draft analysis.

Scouts view Wilson as part of the top tier among prospects, but concerns about finishing and defense prevent a higher ranking.

Wilson has started strong for UNC, averaging 19.3 points, 10.1 rebounds, and shooting 52.5% from the field, with 1.8 steals and 1.3 blocks per game.

As of the report, eight games into the 2025-26 season give Wilson the opportunity to demonstrate defensive potential and possibly elevate his draft stock.

Caleb Wilson, a UNC freshman, is projected to be the fourth overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, behind Darryn Peterson, AJ Dybantsa, and Cameron Boozer, per scouts cited by The Athletic.

The article notes ongoing mock drafts and analyst expectations, highlighting Wilson’s rising profile amid early-season success and athleticism.