NFL Win Totals: Eagles, Bills, Ravens, Chiefs Lead Projections; Browns Face Low Expectations
March 27, 2025
Despite their challenges, analysts like Seth Walder believe the Browns can achieve at least five wins with potential roster changes.
A notable trend this year is that nine teams are projected to have win totals of 10.5 or more, potentially setting a record since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002.
Leading the pack are the Philadelphia Eagles, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Kansas City Chiefs, all tied with the highest projection of 11.5 wins.
The Kansas City Chiefs are aiming for their seventh consecutive season with 10 or more wins, having achieved this in 11 of the last 12 seasons under coach Andy Reid.
Following closely are the Washington Commanders, San Francisco 49ers, Los Angeles Rams, Los Angeles Chargers, Detroit Lions, and Cincinnati Bengals, each projected to win 10.5 games.
This low projection raises questions about the Browns' future, especially as they hold the No. 2 overall pick in the upcoming NFL draft, which could lead to a quarterback selection.
As sports books open betting on NFL teams' win totals for the upcoming season, ESPN Bet has released projections for all 32 teams.
However, analysts like Ben Solak suggest betting on the 49ers under 11.5 wins due to significant losses on their defense and concerns about quarterback Brock Purdy.
The Washington Commanders, after a surprising appearance in the NFC Championship Game, have a notable win total of 10.5, the highest for the team since 2000.
Factors influencing these win total projections include the NFL draft, player trades, free agency, and the scheduling of games.
On the other end of the spectrum, the Cleveland Browns have the lowest win total projection at 4.5, reflecting their struggles and a history of underperformance.
The Eagles, who faced a challenging schedule in the past two years, are expected to continue this trend in 2025 following their NFC East victory and Super Bowl 59 win.
Summary based on 7 sources
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Sources

ESPN • Mar 27, 2025
My First Bet: Early picks for 2025 NFL season win totals - ESPN
ESPN • Mar 27, 2025
2025 NFL betting - Season win totals, projections for all 32 teams - ESPN
Yahoo Sports • Mar 27, 2025
NFL betting: Over/unders for all 32 teams; Eagles, Chiefs among those with highest season win totals
NBC Sports • Mar 28, 2025
Eagles, Chiefs, Bills, Ravens win totals set at 11.5, highest in NFL - NBC Sports