2016 NHL Draft Redo: Tkachuk Tops Laine, Fox and McAvoy Rise in Hindsight Analysis
April 9, 2026
The redraft shifts emphasis toward elite two-way defensemen and high-scoring forwards, with Adam Fox, Charlie McAvoy, Mikhail Sergachev, and others repeatedly cited as top alternatives to Matthews or as foundations for blue-line impact.
The second overall pick is reevaluated from Patrik Laine to Matthew Tkachuk, highlighting his high-impact two-way game and leadership despite lingering questions about scoring.
In the mock reshuffle, Matthew Tkachuk is placed with Winnipeg for impact, while Fox is highlighted as a standout alternative due to his two-way play, though his team alignment remains hypothetical.
The piece presents position-by-position revisions across all 30 teams, illustrating how a decade of performance could reshape the draft landscape.
The overall tone is analytical and data-informed, using hindsight to assess career trajectories while acknowledging the uncertainty inherent in long-term player development.
The article provides a game-by-game, team-by-team reordering of the 2016 picks, detailing each player’s perceived value, fit, and potential impact had teams drafted differently, with brief explanations for each shift.
The analysis explores butterfly effects, such as how drafting different defensemen or centers could have altered team trajectories and player development across the league.
Strategic rationale centers on fit and development trajectories, including how players would mesh with teams’ systems (for example, McDavid/Draisaitl-era Oilers with Fox in the mix).
Intro: ESPN’s 2016 NHL Draft redraft revisits the class a decade later, evaluating how teams might draft differently based on hindsight and performance through 2025-26.
The article revisits the 2016 draft in Buffalo, presenting a hindsight redraft and considering how teams might have selected differently given decade-long performance trends.
Introductory summary: The publication assesses who would go where if teams could redo the 2016 first round, factoring performance through the 2020s and beyond.
Key debates include how players would fit on various teams (e.g., Fox on Edmonton or McAvoy on Columbus) and how trades or needs could alter outcomes in a redo.
Summary based on 3 sources
Get a daily email with more NHL stories
Sources

ESPN • Apr 9, 2026
The 2016 NHL re-draft: Is Auston Matthews still No. 1? - ESPN
ESPN • Apr 9, 2026
The 2016 NHL re-draft: Is Auston Matthews still No. 1? - ESPN
ESPN • Apr 9, 2026
The 2016 NHL re-draft: Is Auston Matthews still No. 1? - ESPN