Asteroid Apophis's 2029 Flyby: Historic Event for Astronomical Observation and Planetary Defense Research

September 16, 2025
Asteroid Apophis's 2029 Flyby: Historic Event for Astronomical Observation and Planetary Defense Research
  • On April 13, 2029, the asteroid 99942 Apophis, measuring 340 meters in diameter, will make a close flyby of Earth at a distance of 5.9 Earth radii, providing a rare observational opportunity that will be visible to over 2 billion people across Africa and Western Europe.

  • This event is expected to be the most widely observed astronomical event in human history, with Apophis appearing as a faint star in the night sky, an occurrence that happens roughly once every 7,500 years for an object of its size.

  • Despite initial fears, scientists including MIT's Richard Binzel confirm that Apophis will safely pass Earth and pose no threat during this encounter, which is characterized as a significant scientific event rather than a danger.

  • Studying Apophis during this flyby will help refine models for planetary defense, as it serves as a natural laboratory for understanding how Earth's gravity can influence asteroid behavior, crucial for future impact mitigation strategies.

  • Several planned missions, such as Europe's RAMSES, Japan's DESTINY+, and NASA's OSIRIS-APEX, aim to observe and analyze Apophis before and after the encounter, although some like OSIRIS-APEX face potential cancellation due to budget constraints.

  • NASA's OSIRIS-REx spacecraft will be repositioned as OSIRIS-APEX to map Apophis's surface, monitor its spin, and measure seismic vibrations, providing valuable insights into its internal structure during the flyby.

  • Recent studies have refined Apophis's orbit, showing an extremely low probability (over one in a billion) of collision before the 2029 flyby, and scientists are confident it poses no threat for the next century.

  • While Apophis is classified as potentially hazardous, its close approach offers a rare scientific opportunity to better understand asteroid behavior, seismic activity, and planetary defense techniques.

  • Earth's gravity will alter Apophis's orbit during the flyby, potentially changing its trajectory and rotation, which could cause it to tumble or shift from its current orbital class.

  • This event provides a unique natural experiment for spacecraft and ground-based observations to study the asteroid's physical properties and the effects of Earth's gravitational and magnetic influences, advancing planetary defense and asteroid science.

  • Scientists consider this a groundbreaking opportunity to significantly improve understanding of asteroid physics and develop better planetary defense strategies.

  • The orbit of Apophis has been carefully refined, and current data suggest an extremely low probability of impact, reinforcing that it poses no threat during this flyby.

  • If approved, the European Space Agency's RAMSES mission, planned for launch in 2028, will observe Apophis before, during, and after its flyby, including deploying a cubesat to study seismic and tidal effects.

Summary based on 2 sources


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