USDT Faces Downgrade Over Bitcoin Reserves, Stability Concerns Rise

November 26, 2025
USDT Faces Downgrade Over Bitcoin Reserves, Stability Concerns Rise
  • S&P Global Ratings downgraded USDT’s ability to maintain a 1:1 peg with the U.S. dollar to a weak rating, citing concerns that reserves include high-risk assets like Bitcoin which could become undercollateralized if values fall.

  • Tether’s reserves comprise bitcoin, gold, secured loans, corporate bonds and other investments with limited disclosures, heightening credit, market, interest-rate and forex risks.

  • The GENIUS Act, a stablecoin-focused bill signed into law, awaits regulatory rulemaking, creating a hold pattern for crypto firms and stablecoin issuers.

  • Bitcoin now makes up about 5.6% of USDT in circulation, exceeding the overcollateralization margin of 3.9%, signaling potential undercollateralization if asset values drop.

  • A large share of reserves is in short-term U.S. Treasuries and cash equivalents, but there is limited transparency about custodians, counterparties, and bank providers.

  • Ongoing debates persist between traditional financial oversight and crypto-focused firms over stability, transparency and investor protections in the evolving stablecoin landscape.

  • USDT remains dominant with a market cap around $184 billion and daily trading volume near $76 billion, underscoring its central role in crypto markets.

  • Tether’s holdings include substantial U.S. Treasuries and large gold reserves, prompting some analysts to view the issuer as operating like a central bank.

  • Tether rejected the downgrade as misleading, defending its 1:1 USD peg and citing $135 billion in Treasury holdings and $13 billion in yearly profits as evidence of stability.

  • Tether emphasizes its reliance on U.S. Treasury bills as a foundation for USDT while acknowledging exposure to higher-risk assets.

  • Tether’s representative defended the risk model on social media, calling for changes to traditional rating systems and highlighting perceived overcapitalization and profitability despite vulnerabilities.

  • Reserves are disclosed via attestations rather than full audits, with around 87,728 BTC reported (Bitcoin about 5.4% of total reserves), up from 3.6% previously.

Summary based on 7 sources


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